Matt Lewis wrote a thoughtful piece about the Republican party and what the two leaders mean for the future of the party:
Further, he says this [and yes, I'm heavily quoting, go read the whole thing]:
There is an implication in this analysis that nominating Romney would be a "smart" thing. I would suggest, that is false. Mitt Romney, it should be remembered, lost to John McCain. Anyone who lost to John McCain should be discounted, in my opinion. John McCain was a weak and flawed candidate and everyone knew it. The Republican primary voters felt that the other candidates were weaker and/or more flawed.
Voting for Mitt Romney in 2012 would not only be not using one's head, it would be outright stupid. Sure, he's got the economic turnaround thing going, but he has the look and feel of someone a person just can't trust. He is, dare I say it, unelectable. And everyone, but the most devoted Romney-ites knows it.
As for Sarah Palin being the luring conservative temptress, bidding the GOP to crash into the shoals of death, pain and panic...now, that is wrong, too. While the verdict is still out on Sarah Palin, she could be a very good or a very bad choice. How can anyone know that yet?
Sarah Palin has to delineate herself from not only McCain's policies, she has to define herself as a Republican. Or is she going really rogue and starting her own party? We'll find out soon enough.
Right now, I don't think Romney makes sense on any level. Really, I can't think of one Republican candidate for president who would be a good choice. But it is early yet. Strange times can lead to stranger candidates. These are strange times.
The most often repeated template is for Republicans to select the person whose "turn" it is to run for president. That's how the Grand Old Party opted for Richard Nixon, John McCain, Bob Dole -- and even George H.W. Bush. The other, less frequently employed model, says: "If you're going to send up a long shot candidate anyway –perhaps a 'sacrificial lamb' -- why not go with your heart?" That's how the GOP chose conservative firebrand Barry Goldwater as its standard-bearer in 1964, a decision that guaranteed a landslide victory for Democrats.
Today, the perfunctory, "next in line" theory suggests that the most likely GOP nominee will be former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. While Romney dropped-out of the 2008 campaign earlier than Mike Huckabee, most conservatives concede that Romney finished in secondplace – and that is certainly the view held by the McCainiacs. So, by the logic that led to the nominations of McCain and Dole, it's Romney's turn. Even if rank-and-file conservatives find him less than perfect concede that he's paid his dues.
But what about the other model? Who is this year's Goldwater – and, just maybe, our Reagan? Who is the person movement conservatives really want? It sure ain't Mike Huckabee. And it might be Sarah Palin.
Further, he says this [and yes, I'm heavily quoting, go read the whole thing]:
With three years to go, predictions are a risky business. Palin may not even run. And perhaps someone such as Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour will emerge as the conservatives' darling. If recent elections are any guide, the Republicans' heads will tell them to choose Mitt Romney. Their hearts whisper something else. Is "Sarah" the name of this siren song?
There is an implication in this analysis that nominating Romney would be a "smart" thing. I would suggest, that is false. Mitt Romney, it should be remembered, lost to John McCain. Anyone who lost to John McCain should be discounted, in my opinion. John McCain was a weak and flawed candidate and everyone knew it. The Republican primary voters felt that the other candidates were weaker and/or more flawed.
Voting for Mitt Romney in 2012 would not only be not using one's head, it would be outright stupid. Sure, he's got the economic turnaround thing going, but he has the look and feel of someone a person just can't trust. He is, dare I say it, unelectable. And everyone, but the most devoted Romney-ites knows it.
As for Sarah Palin being the luring conservative temptress, bidding the GOP to crash into the shoals of death, pain and panic...now, that is wrong, too. While the verdict is still out on Sarah Palin, she could be a very good or a very bad choice. How can anyone know that yet?
Sarah Palin has to delineate herself from not only McCain's policies, she has to define herself as a Republican. Or is she going really rogue and starting her own party? We'll find out soon enough.
Right now, I don't think Romney makes sense on any level. Really, I can't think of one Republican candidate for president who would be a good choice. But it is early yet. Strange times can lead to stranger candidates. These are strange times.










Posted by D-Vega
2009-10-22 15:19:50
Posted by Zheldon
2009-10-22 15:30:59
Posted by BIG
2009-10-22 15:32:47
I just don't get crowning Romney the candidate-in-waiting though. He was never a big player in GOP politics, and he's been on the shelf for a long time (moreso by 2012). He hasn't had much success trying to be a leader in the post-2008 GOP and has been vastly overshadowed by Palin. He'd be hard pressed to win a race between himself, Huckabee, and Charlie Crist. I'm not really buying it.
Posted by Mike_M
2009-10-22 16:11:03
Posted by Christopher_Taylor
2009-10-22 18:53:28
I'm not going so far as to say Romney is the man. I'm just saying that when the alternative "establishment" candidate is the Huckster (yeah, I said it), he deserves a fresh look.
Personally, I would disqualify the entire field of candidates from '08 except for Fred (he wasn't really running). Sarah remains eligible because she was selected as a running mate rather than running for the top job. The top 3 from last year were anything but inspiring. We've heard enough from them.
Posted by ChiefMinion
2009-10-22 19:23:57
Posted by Dick_Nixon
2009-10-22 21:59:10
Posted by D-Vega
2009-10-22 23:14:24
For the love of God, can we please put the 1964 election to rest? Johnson ran on Kennedy's corpse. The Republicans could have run a cross between George Washington and Jesus Christ and lost in a landslide. And Johnson ran one of the skeeviest campaigns in election history to boot. In case we don't recall, Goldwater's "failure" launched conservatism (and libertarianism, for that matter) as modern political movement and ultimately gave us Reagan. That's not exactly a bad record in my book.
Posted by Bill_Dalasio
2009-10-23 00:23:41
2009-10-23 00:23:41
Hogground is the supposed "expert" on how conservatives lose elections and is the authority on Barry Goldwater and the 64 election. Guess Nixon missed another of his sockpuppets posting about it.
Posted by Dick_Nixon
2009-10-23 07:59:02
Posted by aharris
2009-10-23 08:05:08
2009-10-23 08:05:08
Romney for Treasury Secretary 2012!!!
Posted by bthewolf
2009-10-23 10:24:39
Posted by D-Vega
2009-10-23 10:38:53
Maybe because he doesn't use TurboTax to do his taxes... and screw it up.
Posted by CavalierX
2009-10-23 10:50:19
Posted by D-Vega 2009-10-23 10:38:53
Well, we have trouble understanding why you think Obama is some sort of political genius (or peacemaker, or healthcare expert, or uniter)... so I guess that makes us even!
Posted by TheBaud
2009-10-23 10:51:08
Posted by D-Vega
2009-10-23 10:38:53
I don't know, that whole successful CEO thing maybe?!
And I'm not a Romney fan, I just feel he has more financial sense than ANYONE in the current admin. Of course I'm still disappointed that Steve Forbes didn't get very far.
Posted by bthewolf
2009-10-23 11:31:03
2009-10-23 07:59:02
Actually, it was from the article itself. Honestly, I'm starting to think that too much of the Republican party and even some of the conservative movement have spent too much time listening to hogground. Mitt Romney seems like a decent enough guy personally. Heck, I like the guy. But, as a lot of people have kind of pointed out, there's not really a reason to vote for him for the top spot. He leaves you with the impression that he's just a little too calculating for his own good, that he's after the office to have it, not to do anything in particular.
Posted by Bill_Dalasio
2009-10-23 13:21:53
Posted by Christopher_Taylor
2009-10-23 15:11:14