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What Would Barack Obama’s Approval Rating Look Like Today If He Had Done This?
Written By : John Hawkins

Imagine this scenario. Barack Obama is elected President and he actually decides to pursue a center-left agenda and work with Republicans.

* He crafts a stimulus package, smaller than the one he has now, but with more tax cuts and all the spending front loaded to 2009. It passes with a significant number of Republican and Democratic votes in the House.

* Obama shoots down the cash-for-clunkers deal. Says that he wants to spur car sales to, but that it’s not responsible for government to spend money like that in a recession.

* Barack Obama wants to let other world leaders know he’s humble, but not servile. So, no there’s no bowing.

* Stanley McChrystal asks for more troops for Afghanistan, a conflict Obama has called a “war of necessity.” Within a week, Obama notes that even though some people in his own party disagree, he’s not going to play politics with the decision — he’s going to give McChrystal his 40,000 troops.

* Obama decides the TARP funds are doing little good, are being misused, and are costing too much. So, he decides not to spend any TARP money beyond holding back a bit of cash to be used to give low interest loans to Chrysler and General Motors after they are finished with bankruptcy court.

* Obama decides Cap and Trade probably can’t pass the Senate and even if it could, it would make little sense to dramatically spike energy costs in the middle of a recession. So, rather than push for it, he says he’s going to wait until the economy is better to push the plan.

* On health care, Obama says that given the budget situation, he can’t justify a huge new program. However, he does want to work with Republicans to set up an insurance pool to cover the roughly 8-10 million Americans who want health care insurance, but can’t afford it. He works with Republican moderates the whole time and passes the bill easily with bipartisan support.

After all that, you tell me, how much higher would Barack Obama’s approval rating be today? How much more popular would Democrats be? How much more fractured would the Republican party be today? Yet, the Democrats could have moved their agenda forward quite a bit. There’s an old saying that applies in situations like this: Pigs get fed, but hogs get slaughtered.

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  • http://networdblog.blogspot.com/ Christopher_Taylor

    In practical terms that probably would have resulted in little difference in the economy, but it probably would have helped his approval ratings and certainly the Democrats’ chances in 2010.

  • Bildo

    Thank God the Democrats aren’t smart enough to read your blog, John.

  • http://huckupchuck.blogspot.com huckupchuck1

    Well, Hawkins, that’s an interesting theory. So, I’d like to survey you and all RWN readers. If Obama had done everything you suggested, would you approve of him?

  • http://networdblog.blogspot.com/ Christopher_Taylor

    I know I’d be a lot happier with him. Heck I’d be a lot happier with him if he’d bothered to keep some of his campaign promises like greater transparency and bills on the white house page for 2 days before signing. I respected his decision to put McChrystal in charge of Afghanistan and his original decision to do what the general said, and I liked how he’s handled the pirates in Somalia so far.

    See, its the man’s actions and policies that upset and disturb us, not something inherent in him. Unlike Bildo, I wish the Democrats would listen to John and had done this stuff. I don’t care which party does the right thing, I just wish one of them.

  • Jack Schite

    Ha ha ha ha. John knows what’s good for Obama.

    Thanks for the turkey day gobble. Too funny.

  • http://www.superdickery.com mightysamurai

    Shut up, troll. Nobody cares what you think.

  • http://huckupchuck.blogspot.com huckupchuck1

    C_T – That’s all well and good, but would you approve of him and his job performance? If Obama had done those things and a pollster called you up and asked if you approved of Obama’s job performance, would you be one of the folks to give Obama a boost in his job approval ratings?

    Let me give you one example. Obama’s administration doesn’t sign the land mine treaty. Do conservatives applaud him for that decision? No, they ridicule him. See Teach’s posting on the subject. And when Obama comes out disappointing his own base and giving McChrystal almost everything he wanted, will conservatives applaud him? No way. They’ll continue to berate him for having “dithered” — even though conventional wisdom now, even among many conservatives, is that George Bush’s miscues on the Iraq war came as a consequence of NOT taking some time to think through his war strategies.

    The reality is that no matter what Obama does, the fact that it’s Obama doing it means that nothing he does will improve his job approval ratings among the likes of conservatives such as the ones who visit RWN.

    Look at the mantra of RWN: “Kneecapping Barack Obama at every opportunity.” That doesn’t inspire any kind of openmindedness towards Obama regardless of his policies. I know that no matter what Obama does, short of changing parties and becoming Sarah Palin, there would be virtually no one at this site who would say anything that would give Obama’s job approval rating a boost. And I’d bet the Thanksgiving turkey on that.

  • http://www.superdickery.com mightysamurai

    Obama’s administration doesn’t sign the land mine treaty. Do conservatives applaud him for that decision? No, they ridicule him.

    Liar. Go read that thread again.

  • http://conservativebootcamp.com martinhale

    Obama’s administration doesn’t sign the land mine treaty. Do conservatives applaud him for that decision? No, they ridicule him.

    Huck, that’s not true at all. If you’re referring to the conservatives here at this site, then as mightysamurai says, you need to read that thread more closely. Two people voiced opinions on the topic and both of them were respectful and supportive of Mr. Obama by name. I don’t blame mightysamurai one bit for calling you a liar – he was one of the people who specifically said of Mr. Obama, “Good for Obama.” Personally, I think you owe him an apology for it so dreadfully wrong. Or at least you owe him your Thanksgiving turkey, which you offered up as a bet.

    Now, if you’re talking about other conservatives than those who post here, you’ll need to produce more evidence than just your word that conservatives are ridiculing Mr. Obama over the land-mine treaty. I know and speak with a lot of conservatives, and I’ve not heard one of them say anything bad about Mr. Obama on the land-mine treaty. Not one.

    You might have had a point to your diatribe against conservatives, but you blew that point to hell big time when you chose that topic as your example. And now, I’m afraid, the moment has passed.

  • tblrk2006

    Ha ha ha ha. John knows what’s good for Obama.

    Thanks for the turkey day gobble. Too funny.
    Posted by Jack Schite
    2009-11-26 09:37:08

    Clearly obama doesnt know whats good for obama. Now take your bow and leave.

  • http://www.risawn.com/blogger.html risawn

    I came into this presidency with an open mind, knowing Barack Obama was a liberal and hoping he would at least be able to save the economy, so I was trying to support him. He lost my support when he passed the stimulus bill which made absolutely no sense economics wise to me(I was against TARP too), but if he had done something closer in line with what was listed here, I probably would have been more supportive a little longer.

    In the meantime, I try not to use knee jerk reactions to not hating everything Obama says and does, mostly I get infuriated by the hypocracy of the left over giving Obama a pass on his gaffes when they wouldn’t have done the same for a Republican. But with his harmless gaffes, most of my anger is not at Obama. I knew from the beginning he’s only human.

  • http://networdblog.blogspot.com/ Christopher_Taylor

    C_T – That’s all well and good, but would you approve of him and his job performance?

    Based upon those things alone, yes. Because he’d be doing a better job. It wouldn’t be strong approval, but I would give him a nod. Strong approval would require him to not do all the other stuff he’s done that John didn’t mention, such as requiring military bases around the world to offer free abortions to locals, packing his cabinet with extremist radicals, and turning the Czar system into a complete mockery of the executive branch and the constitution’s checks and balances.

    I’m a little different than a lot of conservatives, though. I don’t oppose President Obama just for being a Democrat, I oppose him for the actions he’s taken. I encourage you to be the same way: don’t defend and support him because he’s black and a Democrat, find reasons he’s doing something right to support him, and oppose him when he does things wrong.

  • http://huckupchuck.blogspot.com huckupchuck1

    mightysamurai – My bad. I didn’t read the comments to Teach’s posting, I just read his posting. I was wrong to overgeneralize. I humbly apologize.

    martinhale – My generalization about the land mine treaty reaction was over the top and wrong. I still maintain, though, that even when Obama does what conservatives consider to be a good thing on a particular issue, that would still not be enough to raise his approval ratings among most among that crowd.

    C_T – Where do you get that I defend and support Obama solely because he’s black and a Democrat? Please point that out to me? In fact, I support Obama when de does things that I think are good for the country and are right; and I oppose him when he doesn’t, such as on his inaction regarding ending the DADT policy, on his refusal to sign the land mine treaty, and on his sending any more troops into Afghanistan instead of ending that war. His being black has absolutely nothing to do with my support or opposition to him as President. The race card you just played is beneath you. Moreover, his being a Democrat is only relevant to the extent that being a Democrat means representing liberal policy positions. When he deviates from the liberal policy positions that I hold, I oppose Obama, party affiliation notwithstanding. You should know that.

  • Bill_Dalasio

    Posted by huckupchuck1
    2009-11-26 21:55:58

    Huck,

    I think it depends what you mean. Based on my own experience, I recall giving the Clinton administration better approval numbers after they tacked to the center post-1994. Did I still disapprove of them? Well, uh, yeah, of course. I’m conservative and the Clinton administration was center-left. I think it’s highly unrealistic to expect a lovefest for a liberal politician on a conservative website (Did you fault Daily Kos or Talking Points Memo for their harshness toward Bush, despite No Child Left Behind and the Medicare Drug Benefit?). But, I’ll say I did shift from “strongly disapprove” to “disapprove”. So, yeah, I would more strongly approve of the Obama administration had it followed the policies suggested by Mr. Hawkins.

  • http://networdblog.blogspot.com/ Christopher_Taylor

    Where do you get that I defend and support Obama solely because he’s black and a Democrat?

    Your behavior speaks volumes.

  • http://huckupchuck.blogspot.com huckupchuck1

    C_T – If you’re going to play the conservative Al Sharpton and claim that I support Obama because he’s black, then you’re going to have to prove it beyond just saying “your behavior speaks volumes.” What behavior, specifically, shows that I support Obama because he’s black? I could just as easily say that you oppose Obama because he’s black, and it would be as vaild as your claim against me. And what could you do to prove otherwise? Nothing. That’s the insidious nature of the race card game. And I exhort you to stop playing the race card, C_T. As I said, it’s beneath you.

    Bill_Dalasio – That’s an interesting way of measuring approval. A shift from “strongly disapprove” to simply “disapprove” somehow means that the positive job approval rating goes up? Hawkins is not talking about that statistic of those who disapprove of Obama, just not so “strongly,” but rather those who actually positively approve of Obama’s overall job performance. He’s claiming that if Obama had done the things he mentions, his “positive” job approval ratings — i.e. the numbers of people who say to the pollster: “I approve (or strongly approve) of Obama’s overall job performance.” — would increase. If you would never say that you “approve” of Obama’s overall job performance, simply because he’s a center/left President, then I think it’s fair to say that you would not be included in that group that Hawkins thinks would push Obama’s approval ratings higher. Nor would your movement from “strongly disapprove” to “disapprove” do anything to help Obama’s positive approval ratings.

  • http://www.superdickery.com mightysamurai

    What behavior, specifically, shows that I support Obama because he’s black?

    Specifically, the fact that you didn’t support John Edwards just as fervently. There is absolutely no practical difference between Barack Obama and John Edwards…other than skin color. They support exactly the same positions, they’re both relatively young and charismatic men, they both claim their primary concern is for the poor and less fortunate. They are, in a word, identical. Except John Edwards is a white man (and a Southerner no less) whereas Barack Obama is a black man.

    I could just as easily say that you oppose Obama because he’s black

    Setting aside the fact that you’ve already done precisely that (don’t think we’ve forgotten your race-baiting hysteria over the Obama-Joker posters) you’re wrong. You CAN’T “just as easily say” that our disapproval of Obama is based on race because we have expressed equal disapproval for white liberal politicians as we have for Barack Obama. Our disapproval for Barack Obama is no greater than and no different from our disapproval for Bill Clinton or the current Democratic Congress.

    Furthermore, we can actually point to actions by Barack Obama that we disapprove of. You can’t really point to anything Obama has done that you approve of because he hasn’t actually done anything. His “Stimulus” failed to stimulate anything (and has arguably made things worse), his socialized healthcare bill and cap-and-tax bill are looking more and more DOA, and his diplomacy and foreign policy decisions have been mediocre at best and an embarrassment at worst. (I suppose I shouldn’t be surprised. You guys gave Obama tons of credit during the ’08 campaign despite his utter lack of accomplishments, why should I expect you to treat him any different now?) And on top of that his broken campaign promises are piling up by the day.

    Hell, if anything you should be even more disapproving of Obama than we are. He was your “Great White Hope” (so to speak). The guy who was supposed to represent “hope” and “change” (presumably for the better). He was supposed to be the guy who would “make America great again”. But not only has he utterly failed to do that, things actually seem to be going steadily downhill since his election, and the list of all the promises Obama made to you and subsequently broke is as long as my leg. Yet still you claim you approve of him.

    In case you’ve forgotten, we didn’t do this with George W. Bush. When Bush broke his promises by ramping up government spending, abandoning Social Security reform, and signing off on unconstitutional left-wing legislation like NCLB and Amnesty, we called him out on it. We registered our disapproval. (Indeed, the MSM never shied away from publicizing Bush’s low approval rates from self-identified Republicans as “proof” of what a terrible President he was.) So I guess the real question is, why do you still approve of Barack Obama at all? By every metric that exists he has failed at what he set out to do at the start of his term, and on top of that he’s broken more of his promises to you than I can list here without eating up John’s bandwidth. Logically, you should be joining us in voicing your abject disapproval of Barack Obama. Or at least not bothering to defend him when we do so. Yet not only do you continue to defend him, you claim to approve of the job he’s been doing. You certainly can’t point to any act of policy by Barack Obama that justifies this kind of approval, so why do you continue to approve of him?

    I submit that the only possible reason is his race. He’s a powerful black man and as a liberal you cannot allow a powerful black man to be recognized as a failure. To do so would undermine your entire worldview and strengthen ours. A failed black President would be the ultimate proof that race is irrelevant to success and only actions matter. And that would spell the slow death of race-based liberal programs like Affirmative Action. If race doesn’t matter and actions are all that count, then maintaining “diversity” in the workplace or in government is no longer a legitimate concern.

    Hawkins is not talking about that statistic of those who disapprove of Obama, just not so “strongly,” but rather those who actually positively approve of Obama’s overall job performance.

    Now you’re just being stupid on purpose.

    John is NOT talking about “those who actually positively approve” of the job Obama has been doing. He is talking about, quote, “Barack Obama’s approval rating”. Furthermore, he is talking about Obama’s overall approval rate, i.e. his approval rate based on the opinions of the country as a whole. By contrast, you are talking about his approval rate among conservatives. It’s been a long time since I took Statistics, but I believe the term for that is called “cooking the books”. You are intentionally altering the parameters of the game to obtain a result you (think) supports your argument.

    But then, you only see what you want to see, don’t you Huck?

  • Pingback: Team Obama Ignoring Voters: 62% Want Taxes & Spending Cut to Create Jobs, No More Stimulus/Porkulus Bills « Frugal Café Blog Zone

  • Pingback: November Quotables Round-up… On Pres. Barack Obama « Frugal Café Blog Zone

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