Uh Oh: Computer Models Predict Maybe Doom From Antarctic Melting

by William Teach | March 31, 2016 7:14 am

Many media outlets are having meltdowns (sic) over a report. Let’s go to hyper-Warmist Justin Gillis at the NY Times for the hysteria

Climate Model Predicts West Antarctic Ice Sheet Could Melt Rapidly[1]

Everything you need to know is in the headline. Garbage in garbage out computer models, which have continuously failed.

For half a century, climate scientists have seen the West Antarctic ice sheet, a remnant of the last ice age, as a sword of Damocles hanging over human civilization.

The great ice sheet, larger than Mexico, is thought to be potentially vulnerable to disintegration from a relatively small amount of global warming, and capable of raising the sea level by 12 feet or more should it break up. But researchers long assumed the worst effects would take hundreds — if not thousands — of years to occur.

Now, new research suggests the disaster scenario could play out much sooner.

Continued high emissions of heat-trapping gases could launch a disintegration of the ice sheet within decades, according to a study[2] published Wednesday, heaving enough water into the ocean to raise the sea level as much as three feet by the end of this century.

Oh, but don’t think the doom of sea rise ends there, because their computer models predict things will get even worse

The situation would grow far worse beyond 2100, the researchers found, with the rise of the sea exceeding a pace of a foot per decade by the middle of the 22nd century. Scientists had documented such rates of increase in the geologic past, when far larger ice sheets were collapsing, but most of them had long assumed it would be impossible to reach rates so extreme with the smaller ice sheets of today.

And they’re able to prognosticate this using the same failed computer models that have failed to predict anything else. If you had a calculator that kept giving you the wrong answers, would you continue to listen to its answers? But, hey, good news, this is a maybe might could possibly we’re not sure prediction

“We are not saying this is definitely going to happen,” said David Pollard, a researcher at Pennsylvania State University and a co-author of the new paper. “But I think we are pointing out that there’s a danger, and it should receive a lot more attention.”

In other words, doomsaying to obtain more taxpayer funding for more studies.

Of course, nothing in the paper seems to take into account the scientific research, not computer models, mind you, into the volcanic[3] activity[4] occurring under Western Antarctica. They simply blame it on Mankind’s release of greenhouse gases, especially carbon dioxide, “The answer the scientists got is described in their paper in the dry language of science, but it could easily serve as the plot device of a Hollywood disaster movie.” Nowhere in the NY Times article, nor others I’ve perused on the paper, even mention volcanic activity.

Oh, BTW, here’s how the article ends

But the recent climate deal negotiated in Paris[5] would not reduce emissions nearly enough to achieve that goal. That deal is to be formally signed by world leaders in a ceremony in New York next month, in a United Nations building that stands directly by the rising water.

Huh. So the “historic”, as it has been deemed, climate deal really does nothing.

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove[6]. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach[7].

Endnotes:
  1. Climate Model Predicts West Antarctic Ice Sheet Could Melt Rapidly: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/31/science/global-warming-antarctica-ice-sheet-sea-level-rise.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0
  2. study: http://nature.com/articles/doi:10.1038/nature17145
  3. volcanic: http://dailycaller.com/2014/06/11/study-west-antarctic-glacier-melt-due-to-volcanoes-not-global-warming/
  4. activity: http://www.livescience.com/46194-volcanoes-melt-antarctic-glaciers.html
  5. climate deal negotiated in Paris: http://www.nytimes.com/news-event/un-climate-change-conference
  6. Pirate’s Cove: http://www.thepiratescove.us/
  7. @WilliamTeach: http://twitter.com/WilliamTeach

Source URL: https://rightwingnews.com/climate-change/uh-oh-computer-models-predict-maybe-doom-antarctic-melting/