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How Does A Society Sustain Itself When 40% Of Its Tax Revenue Goes To Interest Payments On Its Debt?
Written By : John Hawkins

I know, I know. Yet another article about how scary our debt is. You’ve heard it a thousand times. Yet and still, my friends, these numbers beg for further consideration:

As of Sept. 30, 2009, the national debt was almost $12 trillion and interest on that debt was $383 billion for the year, according to the Treasury Department’s Bureau of the Public Debt. The Congressional Budget Office on Oct. 7 estimated the 2009 budget deficit to be almost $1.4 trillion (about 10% of GDP). In August, the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) estimated total government revenues at about $2 trillion. The revenue estimate included $904 billion from individual income taxes. This means the cost of interest on the debt represented more than 40 cents of every dollar that came in from individual income taxes.

Except for a few years in the late 1990s, for decades Washington has spent more than it has taken in each year and borrowed the rest. Taxpayer dollars that could have paid off debt each year have instead been spent on interest to finance debt. Unfortunately, that’s a vicious cycle that will likely only get worse.

The OMB projects deficits of about $9 trillion over the next 10 years. If that occurs, the national debt will be almost $21 trillion by 2019. However, the actual amount could be much higher. The OMB also optimistically projects $13.5 trillion of revenue increases over the next decade, while minimizing the inevitable rise in interest rates that will come with an expanding national debt.

During Jimmy Carter’s years in the White House, Treasury yields reached 15%. The 2009 average interest rate on the debt was only 3.2%. With our mounting national debt and budget deficits, it is reasonable to assume that in the near future interest rates on new and refinanced debt could double or triple.

In stark but simple terms, unless Americans are made aware of this financial crisis and demand accountability, the very fabric of our society will be destroyed. Interest rates and interest costs will soar and government revenues will be devoured by interest on the national debt. Eventually, most of what we spend on Social Security, Medicare, education, national defense and much more may have to come from new borrowing, if such funding can be obtained. Left unchecked, this destructive deficit-debt cycle will leave the White House and Congress with either having to default on the national debt or instruct the Treasury to run the printing presses into a policy of hyperinflation.

It is against this background that Washington is now debating whether to create social programs it can’t afford.

Get that? Out of every dollar of income tax, we’re spending 40 cents to pay interest. Note again: that’s just THE INTEREST. Even though we’re spending 40% of the money that comes in from income tax, it’s not reducing the debt one iota.

Point being: the biggest crisis this country is facing is the amount of debt we owe. All other problems combined pale in significance compared to this issue. Health care, Afghanistan, Iraq, terrorism, cap and trade, etc., etc. — they’re all small potatoes compared to getting our spending under control.

Nothing short of an EMP attack, a massive meteor strike, a nuclear war, alien invasion, or some other event that changes all life as we know it would be more important than getting a handle on our debt. It’s that important and it would be great if more than a handful of people in Washington, D.C. seemed to realize it.

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  • Mike_M

    The headline is a bit misleading since income taxes only account for half of government revenue, but is 20% any better? It's time to throw the social justice meme back in the faces of the liberals (Democrats and big spending Republicans) with a good dose of reality and truth.

    How just is it when 40% of all individual taxes we pay buys nothing at all?

    How just is it that 60% of the Federal budget is entitlements, and that the government is borrowing 50% of its budget from other countries? Is it social justice to expect every man, woman, and child in China to cough up $1000 a year to pay for comfortable retirement, health care, and cash handouts for non-working Americans?

    Is it just to saddle future workers and taxpayers in this country with the debt of entitlements for previous generations?

    Is it just to compromise the security, infrastructure, and Constitutionally legitimate institutions in this country in order to provide entitlements and service the debt?

    Is it just to bankrupt the states (which provide services like schools and libraries) with unfunded mandates because of policy whims the Federal government itself can not pay for?

    Will it be an injustice, or justice reasserting itself when entitlements become unsustainable in this country? China will one day decide that they no longer want to pay for the retirement or health care of Americans. Either the checks will stop, or they'll become so devalued that a monthly Social Security check will buy you breakfast at McDonalds…once.

    Where is the justice when the government fails the people that it has made dependent on it?

  • Realpolitik

    It follows its governmemnt into one or more wars.

  • Bildo

    It follows its governmemnt into one or more wars.

    Posted by Realpolitik

    2009-10-12 11:56:50

    Those wars, at their peak, cost $140 billion per year. Expensive, but very manageable. Despite the Liberal lies, they are not the reason for our massive deficits.

    The Medicare prescription drug plan costs more than that, and it's cost will skyrocket over the next decade as more Baby Boomers retire.

    We keep electing attorneys to go and run our country, yet they have proven time and again that they are the least qualified to do so. We can't keep acting like the Nobel committee, and start electing people who have actually achieved something in life. We have to start electing men of character and accomplishment. Attorneys, by their very nature, would probably be disqualified.

  • Bill_Dalasio

    The truly scary thing here is that around the periphery, as unpursued asides, we're increasingly hearing members of both the political class (as mulling options) and the financial community (in sheer terror) citing the possibility of a "massive reset". This has one logical meaning – default. A default by the U.S. government would make the recent crisis look like a little unpleasantness.

  • Mike_M

    "massive reset". This has one logical meaning – default."

    There's another: hyperinflation of the currency to allow businesses and government to rid themselves of debt via the printing press, followed by the introduction of a new currency.

    Weimar Germany played this hand in the 1920's. It was marvelous fun for the government and corporations, not so much for the middle class and small business owners that were wiped out.

  • Bill_Dalasio

    Posted by Mike_M

    2009-10-12 14:10:01,

    Fair enough, I guess. How that differs dramatically from out-and-out default is a debatable point.

  • http://wastingtimewithalex.com/ AlexinCT

    It follows its governmemnt into one or more wars.

    If you repeat the lie enough times people might believe it? Please! How often must this idiotic meme be dismantled, embarrassing and exposing you lefty liars for what you are, to get you to go make up some other, likely to be as false, talking point, huh?

    The massive debt we have is because our government is forced to borrow money to keep paying for massive unconstitutional social programs that serve only to buy certain politicians power. If the left really care much about the debt we would never have had stimulus patronage bill one, a proposal for another one, the "Tax and Cap" bill, the nationalization of 2 of the 3 car companies, the government takeover and overregulation of the financial sector – while keeping the very idiotic policies and practices that caused the economic crisis in place nevertheless – the healthcare takeover by government, and much more.

    The fact is that the purpose of the current social policy promoted by the left is to keep as many people as possible in poverty and dependant to the democrat politicians for their sub par existence and subsistence. It is not to help anyone. If they really wanted to help us, they would do things that would cause an economic expansion that would create jobs, not continue to destroy them.

  • arthur_branch

    All I can say is prepare for a VAT.

  • Realpolitik

    How often must this idiotic meme be dismantled, embarrassing and exposing you lefty liars for what you are, to get you to go make up some other, likely to be as false, talking point, huh?

    Posted by AlexinCT

    2009-10-12 14:28:44

    Well, just once for a start.

  • http://wastingtimewithalex.com/ AlexinCT

    Well, just once for a start.

    I know you are trolling, but it needs to be done:

    The entire Iraq war has cost some $700 million dollars so far. I am sure you don't want Afghanistan's cost added to that total, unless you are finally ready to come clean and admit you felt wasting money going after the people that killed 3000 was dumb in the first place (a sentiment many liberals share), now do you troll?

    Anyway, Obama has flushed that much, and then some more, down the toilet with one bill – the stimulus patronage bill. Welfare payments this year alone are $880 million plus and that is going up for next year. That healthcare takeover he is planning? Costs, best case scenario BTW, are around $2 trillion, which he will lower to $1 trillion with a massive new tax increase on people that have private insurance and a drastic and sweeping cut of Medicare for seniors. The social programs currently running waste billions too. Close to $15 trillion has been spent on the “war on poverty” over the last few decades, and we have more poor than ever when you subsidize bad behavior you get more of it).

    Google the facts its easy stuff even for a deviant and mentally challenged turd burglar like you….

  • jimb123

    Hey, Alex – the numeric portions are correct. However, that should read billions not millions.

  • MediumHeadBoy

    I wonder if Realidiot would care to condemn the cost of the oh-so-successful War on Poverty?

  • nedschnittt

    How Does A Society Sustain Itself When 40% Of Its Tax Revenue Goes To Interest Payments On Its Debt?

    It doesn't.

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