Everyone Needs To Simmer Down About Virginia, Exit Polls
by Matt Vespa | November 6, 2012 7:32 pm
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Let’s all calm down. : I know a few conservative may have started to sweat after seeing Drudge’s headline showing “boom” for Obama in the early exit polls. : However, Ace of Spades reminds us[2] that in 2004, John Kerry led in the exit polls by nine.
Remember, the: 2004 exits had Kerry winning nationally 51-48.[3]: Actual result? Pretty much the opposite of that. Bush won by just under three points.
Thus, a nearly +6 bias in favor of Democrats.
You can also ignore the sub-toplines in the exits, for the exact same reason. They’re saying on CNN this is the first election in which Hispanics make up 10% of the voting population. Again –: self-selected.D+6. More whites than anyone else avoiding the sociology major.
The exits are, through-and-through, faulty and a big waste of your time.
I say again: Random-digit-dial polls are more accurate.
Kerry, at the end of the night, lost the state — and the election.