New Election Analysis Shows Trump’s Chances Of Winning Jumping From 3% To Very Close

21 Sep, 2016 by William Teach

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This has to make a few people in the Hillary camp as nervous as a cat in a room full of rocking chairs

(Washington Examiner) The latest vote projection from elections guru Nate Silver has Republican Donald Trump just six electoral votes short of winning and one point away from equaling Hillary Clinton’s popular vote.

The newest Five Thirty Eight survey Trump at 264 and Clinton at 272, two more than needed. It’s the closest in recent weeks.

Silver is famous for making a prediction of victory and that’s nearly close to, Clinton at 51.9 percent and Trump at 48 percent, his closest since the conventions.

The chart shows a huge gain for Trump, recovering from just a 3 percent chance of winning a month ago.

It’s changed a tiny bit in Hillary’s favor overnight, going from 51.9%-48% to 53.3%-47.7%.

Except for a brief time around the GOP convention, Trump’s chances have been pitiful. The slow erosion of Hillary’s chances are very interesting, though, as Trump slowly rises. Quite frankly, for Trump it will most likely all come down to the Monday night debate (which never should have been scheduled against a football game, even if it is just Atlanta vs New Orleans, not a big ratings hit). If he does poorly, he’s most likely done. If he holds his own or defeats Hillary, well, that could really boost his chances.

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach.