Latest Poll Shows Romney Slaughtering Obama In North Carolina

by William Teach | May 23, 2012 7:25 am

Though, I don’t think I’m allowed to use the term “slaughtering” in the era of New Tone. Anyhow, this new poll shows dead, buried, and decomposing cat bounce for Obama

(WRAL[1]) President Barack Obama and likely Republican challenger Mitt Romney are in a virtual tie for North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes in this fall’s election, according to a WRAL News poll released Tuesday[2].

SurveyUSA polled 524 likely voters statewide between Friday and Monday and found that 45 percent would vote for Romney and 44 percent for Obama if the election were held now. Six percent remain undecided.

A month ago, a WRAL News poll had Obama leading in North Carolina by four points, 47 to 43 percent. That poll included registered voters, however, which is a larger group than likely voters.

Right now you’re asking yourself if Teach has gone nuts terming that 1 point lead as “slaughtering”. The nuts part is debatable, but separate from this issue. Take a look at the survey link in the first paragraph. Remember, this is likely voters as opposed to registered, and a swing for Romney. Consider that Obama only enjoys 84% of Black support in the poll, an obvious resulting from many factors, including Obama’s recent “evolution” on gay marriage, though only 36% say gay marriage is an important factor. Romney beats Obama 52% to 27% among Hispanics. Romney leads in every age group but 18-34, which tends to vote less than the other groups. But, here’s where Obama is really getting slaughtered

That’s an R/D/I sampling of 29/44/24. Democrats are given a 15 point higher sample in a state Obama won by a whopping .4% in 2008, and one that saw the General Assembly taken over by Republicans in full for the first time in 110 years in 2010. For Obama to be trailing by 1% among Likely Voters with Democrats heavily over-sampled shows just how big Obama’s troubles are in NC. Granted, it’s a long time till the general election, and anything can happen, but, for a guy who wanted to hold the Democratic National Convention in NC, this is really, really bad news.

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove[3]. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach[4].

Endnotes:
  1. WRAL: http://www.wral.com/news/local/politics/story/11129520/
  2. WRAL News poll released Tuesday: http://www.wral.com/news/local/politics/document/11129657/
  3. Pirate’s Cove: http://www.thepiratescove.us/
  4. @WilliamTeach: http://twitter.com/WilliamTeach

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