Well, we’ll get the real-life test of my thesis: “If Mubarak is Toppled?“ Updates and videos forthcoming. 2:55pm: Mubarak hangs on. New York Times has a report, “Mubarak Orders Ministers to Resign but Backs Armed Response to Egypt Protests.” And at ABC News, “Egyptians Defy Curfew, President Mubarak Announces New Government but Won’t Resign: U.S. Reconsiders Aid to Egypt, Secretary Clinton Mum on Hosni Mubarak’s Fate.”
And check for BREAKING UPDATES THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.