Cult Of Climastrology: Climate Change Causing Fewer, But Bigger, Tornado Outbreaks

by William Teach | March 26, 2015 7:22 am

It’s always something with these folks. Much like with hurricanes, they told us that Hotcoldwetdry would create more tornado outbreaks. When that did not come to fruition, they decided to change the dynamic, proclaiming that there would be fewer tornadoes, but that they’d be stronger. Now they’ve changed the dynamic again, and it’s all your fault for refusing to give up your fossil fueled modern lifestyle. I bet you drove a vehicle to work and engaged in consumerism, possibly even using a hair dryer to day, didn’t you, you Gaia killing Evil Person!

Tornadoes are clustering in the US, and climate change may be to blame[1]

If you’ve been keeping track of the news about tornado outbreaks in the US over the past few decades, you may have noticed a trend – fewer outbreaks[2], but at the same time each one appears to be worse than the last. According to a new report, it’s probably not your imagination. In fact, it could be due to climate change.

But, of course! Could this be possible? Well, sure. But, does it mean that it has to be anthropogenic causation? Not in the least. But, that’s is 100% what they mean. In fact, there have only been two years since 1950 with no tornadoes between March 1 to the 16th: 1969 and 2015. If you’ll remember, 1969 was in the depth of a slight cooling “pause” during the Modern Warm Period. In fact, the past three years have seen very low numbers of tornadoes. So, that would make the warming, whether it be natural, anthropogenic, or a mix, a good thing, right? Much like with the lower count of landfalling hurricanes.

One of the basic predictions coming out of climate science for years now is that we will be seeing an overall increase in the number of extreme weather events. This is not to say that the overall number of weather events is going to increase, just that the percentage of extreme weather events, compared to more ‘normal’ weather events, is going to get higher.

In other words, they’ve created a non-falsifiable argument in order to blame every weather event on “climate change”. So, I should blame climate change for the t-storm that rolled through Raleigh at 5am this morning, which woke me up, then made me think that I may have left my sunroof on tilt, causing me to get up, put on shoes and a raincoat, and go outside. Because I did. And, since I couldn’t get back to sleep, but rolled for a bit, I now have a crick in my neck. I blame Barack Obama’s prolific use of fossil fuels.

Now, a study by scientists from NOAA[3] – the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration – is showing evidence of this trend.

“When people ask, ‘Are we getting more tornadoes, are we getting fewer tornadoes, are they later, are they earlier?’ – the answer to everything is yes,” said Harold Brooks, the lead study author from NOAA’s Severe Storms Laboratory, according to Ecowatch.com[4].

Looking back at US weather records from 1964 to 2013, they found that while the average number of tornadoes per year reported across the country (excluding the weakest ones) wasn’t changing by much, the number of days that these tornadoes occurred on did change. It dropped, from 187 tornado days in 1970 to just 110 tornado days in 2011. This means that the tornadoes are being concentrated in fewer days, clustering together. According to the records, nine of those days in 2011 saw 30 tornadoes spawn each. Apparently, that’s the same number of 30+ tornado days that occurred in the 20 years between 1961-1981.

The study itself is somewhat circumspect about blaming “climate change”. Let’s switch to the Weather Channel[5]

Now, the toughest question: Is climate change playing a role in the increasing variability of the nation’s tornadoes?

The short answer is, possibly.

The challenge in answering this question is linking short-fuse events like tornadoes and tornado outbreaks to long-term changes in atmospheric parameters generally conducive for severe thunderstorms, such as instability and wind shear.

Studies by Dr. Jeff Trapp and Dr. Noah Diffenbaugh, among others, suggest atmospheric instability, driven by increased moisture, is expected to be greater in a warming climate. However, wind shear, crucial for the formation of supercells which can produce the strongest tornadoes, may diminish overall, but may feature more days with higher wind shear[6].

The Cult Of Climastrology is desperate to continue validating their cultish beliefs, as well as keeping the money train going, all of which requires a constant change in talking points to match current weather conditions. And keeping the fear-mongering at the forefront. In the CoC’s world, this can only happen because of Mankind, and they want to force you to change your behavior, while they continue on with their own big carbon footprints without change.

Now we just await Warmists blaming yesterday’s tornadoes on “climate change”. Oh, wait

"@28storms[7]: Tracking dangerous storm that produced #tornado[8] in #Moore[9], OK pic.twitter.com/m7hYR6ZBX1[10]" Yep @jiminhofe[11] there's no #climatechange[12]!

— Marisel Morales (@57MCM) March 26, 2015[13]

https://twitter.com/FrogElixir/status/581030493254082560

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove[14]. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach[15].

Endnotes:
  1. Tornadoes are clustering in the US, and climate change may be to blame: http://www.theweathernetwork.com/us/news/articles/tornadoes-are-clustering-in-the-us-and-climate-change-may-be-to-blame/47882/
  2. fewer outbreaks: http://www.theweathernetwork.com/us/news/articles/united-states-in-tornado-drought-since-start-of-2015/47881/
  3. a study by scientists from NOAA: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/346/6207/349
  4. Ecowatch.com: http://ecowatch.com/2014/10/17/tornado-swarms-climate-change/
  5. Weather Channel: http://www.weather.com/storms/tornado/news/tornadoes-variability-studies
  6. may feature more days with higher wind shear: http://www.pnas.org/content/110/41/16361
  7. @28storms: https://twitter.com/28storms?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
  8. #tornado: https://twitter.com/hashtag/tornado?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
  9. #Moore: https://twitter.com/hashtag/Moore?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
  10. pic.twitter.com/m7hYR6ZBX1: http://t.co/m7hYR6ZBX1
  11. @jiminhofe: https://twitter.com/JimInhofe?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
  12. #climatechange: https://twitter.com/hashtag/climatechange?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
  13. March 26, 2015: https://twitter.com/57MCM/status/580886207825088513?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
  14. Pirate’s Cove: http://www.thepiratescove.us/
  15. @WilliamTeach: http://twitter.com/WilliamTeach

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