NOAA Massages Data To Erase Inconvenient Warming Pause

by William Teach | June 5, 2015 7:19 am

It’s very inconvenient that the Great Pause has lengthened to 18 years and 6 months[1], per RSS (which, suddenly, Warmists do not like). To cover for the lack of warming, which was even noted by Kevin Trenberth in the Climategate emails (“The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.”), the Cult of Climastrology has come up with over 70 excuses[2], most of which tend to blame natural variability. NOAA went a different route

(Daily Caller[3]) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration scientists have found a solution to the 15-year “pause” in global warming: They “adjusted” the hiatus in warming out of the temperature record.

New climate data by NOAA scientists doubles the warming trend since the late 1990s by adjusting pre-hiatus temperatures downward and inflating temperatures in more recent years.

“Newly corrected and updated global surface temperature data from NOAA’s [National Centers for Environmental Information] do not support the notion of a global warming ‘hiatus,’” wrote NOAA scientists in their study[4] presenting newly adjusted climate data.

To increase the rate in warming, NOAA scientists put more weight on certain ocean buoy arrays, adjusted ship-based temperature readings upward, and slightly raised land-based temperatures as well. Scientists said adjusted ship-based temperature data “had the largest impact on trends for the 2000-2014 time period, accounting for 0.030°C of the 0.064°C trend difference.” They added that the “buoy offset correction contributed 0.014°C… to the difference, and the additional weight given to the buoys because of their greater accuracy contributed 0.012°C.”

This is what they call “science”. Just fabricate the Pause away!

But that’s not all NOAA did to increase the warming trend in recent decades. Climate expert Bob Tisdale and meteorologist Anthony Watts noted that to “manufacture warming during the hiatus, NOAA adjusted the pre-hiatus data downward.”

“If we subtract the [old] data from the [new] data… we can see that that is exactly what NOAA did,” Tisdale and Watts wrote on the science blog Watts Up With That[5].

Greg “Blocking Everyone Who Doesn’t Agree” Laden provides a laughable take[6] from the Warmist side

There is, however, variation as the earth’s surface temperature steadily rises as the result of the human release of greenhouse gas pollution. Every now and then that variation results in a period of several years when the rise in global temperature is relatively slow, and a recent such period has been termed a “hiatus” or “pause.” But that signifier mainly comes from those who deny the reality of global warming, and is often used by them as an argument that global warming is somehow not real. It is real, and they are wrong.

In other words, nature is responsible for pauses and slowdowns, Mankind is solely responsible for warming. This is the Cult of Climastrology in a nutshell. They have a tough time explaining why the same natural conditions which cause the Pause/slowdown cannot be responsible for the warming. Heck, they don’t even try. They just throw out insults. Then they block you on Twitter for asking inconvenient questions.

Via Climate Depot[7], we read

The Global Warming Policy Foundation analysis of new paper[8]:
Key pitfalls of the paper:
-The authors have produced adjustments that are at odds with other all other surface temperature datasets, as well as those compiled via satellite.
-They do not include any data from the Argo array that is the world’s best coherent data set on ocean temperatures.
-Adjustments are largely to sea surface temperatures (SST) and appear to align ship measurements of SST with night marine air temperature (NMAT) estimates, which have their own data bias problems.
-The extend of the largest SST adjustment made over the hiatus period, supposedly to reflect  a continuing change in ship observations (from buckets to engine intake thermometers) is not justified by any evidence as to the magnitude of the appropriate adjustment, which appears to be far smaller.

This is all just another attempt to protect the Cult of Climastrology, continue the funding gravy train, continue the scaremongering, and continue pushing for more taxation and governmental control of individuals, private entities, and economies. Progressivism at work, pushed by people who refuse to give up their own fossil fuels usage and go “carbon neutral” in their own lives.

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove[9]. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach[10].

Endnotes:
  1. lengthened to 18 years and 6 months: http://www.climatedepot.com/2015/06/03/global-warming-standstillpause-increases-to-a-new-record-length-18-years-6-months/
  2. over 70 excuses: http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/search?q=66+excuses
  3. Daily Caller: http://dailycaller.com/2015/06/04/noaa-fiddles-with-climate-data-to-erase-the-15-year-global-warming-hiatus/
  4. in their study: http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/2015/06/03/science.aaa5632
  5. wrote on the science blog Watts Up With That: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/06/04/noaancdcs-new-pause-buster-paper-a-laughable-attempt-to-create-warming-by-adjusting-past-data/
  6. laughable take: http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2015/06/04/new-research-on-global-warming-hiatus/
  7. Climate Depot: http://www.climatedepot.com/2015/06/04/scientists-challenge-new-study-attempting-to-erase-the-pause-warmists-rewrite-temperature-history-to-eliminate-the-pause/
  8. The Global Warming Policy Foundation analysis of new paper: http://us4.campaign-archive1.com/?u=c920274f2a364603849bbb505&id=bc605edeb1&e=f4e33fdd1e
  9. Pirate’s Cove: http://www.thepiratescove.us/
  10. @WilliamTeach: http://twitter.com/WilliamTeach

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