Obligatory “2014 Is Hottest Year Ever And We’re All Doomed!!!!!” Post

by William Teach | January 17, 2015 8:14 am

I never got around to this Friday, since life happened (shot a 43 while walking 9 yesterday afternoon, even with the wind. Putting was great), plus, I really didn’t care that much. There are always breathless pronouncements by Warmists, and they’ve been pushing this meme for months. Outlets like the Washington Post[1], Vox[2], Politico[3], etc, along with all sorts of left leaning blogs and organizations, are all going bat guano insane over this “news”, blaming Mankind, yet, none of the writers and organizations are pledging to give up their own fossil fuels usage. Strange, I know!

NASA, NOAA Find 2014 Warmest Year in Modern Record[4]

The year 2014 ranks as Earth’s warmest since 1880, according to two separate analyses by NASA and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scientists.

The 10 warmest years in the instrumental record, with the exception of 1998, have now occurred since 2000. This trend continues a long-term warming of the planet, according to an analysis of surface temperature measurements by scientists at NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS) in New York.

Perhaps they can tell us the temperature in the previous warm periods? No?

Since 1880, Earth’s average surface temperature has warmed by about 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit (0.8 degrees Celsius), a trend that is largely driven by the increase in carbon dioxide and other human emissions into the planet’s atmosphere. The majority of that warming has occurred in the past three decades.

Well, wouldn’t be proper for NASA/NOAA to not primarily Blame Mankind, right? Overall, though, the world is still in Pause. Something not discussed in the press release, nor in most of the Warmist articles, is the actual “temperature”. As Not A Lot Of People Know That[5] notes

Nowhere does their press release tell us that it only beat the previous record by a tiny, effectively unmeasurable 0.02C. Nor do they mention that the error bars are many times greater, or even tell us what they are.

One can barely tell the difference between 57F and 58.4F. “Is 58.46° then distinguishable from 58.45°?” That’s what Dr. Pat Michaels[6] asks, and his answer is “no”.

Both Not A Lot Of People Know That and Dr. Judith Curry[7] note that NASA claims it was an El Nino neutral year. The actual data refutes that. Dr. Curry also notes

Berkeley Earth sums it up well with this statement:

That is, of course, an indication that the Earth’s average temperature for the last decade has changed very little.

The key issue remains the growing discrepancy between the climate model projections and the observations: 2014 just made the discrepancy larger.

So, essentially, the Pause continues, and the Warmist computer models continue to fail stupendously. She also writes

With 2014 essentially tied with 2005 and 2010 for hottest year, this implies that there has been essentially no trend in warming over the past decade.

The temperature is stable.

One thing we’re still waiting for is the satellite records. Once those come out, this whole “2014 is the hottest year” stuff will go away…oh, who am I kidding. The media and Warmists will ignore any actual data which disagrees with their cultish beliefs.

Regardless, even if the data is 100% spot on, it still doesn’t prove mostly/solely anthropogenic causation, just another wishy washy warm period during this interglacial period. The argument is not over warming, but causation.

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove[8]. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach[9].

Endnotes:
  1. Washington Post: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/01/16/scientists-react-to-warmest-year-2014-underscores-undeniable-fact-of-human-caused-climate-change/
  2. Vox: http://www.vox.com/2015/1/16/7556423/2014-hottest-year
  3. Politico: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/01/global-warming-2014-hottest-year-114323.html
  4. NASA, NOAA Find 2014 Warmest Year in Modern Record: http://www.nasa.gov/press/2015/january/nasa-determines-2014-warmest-year-in-modern-record/index.html#.VLpSBivF8rU
  5. Not A Lot Of People Know That: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/01/16/giss-hottest-year-claims-not-supported-by-the-data/
  6. Dr. Pat Michaels: http://www.cato.org/blog/how-hot-does-it-have-be-break-record
  7. Dr. Judith Curry: http://judithcurry.com/2015/01/16/warmest-year-pause-and-all-that/
  8. Pirate’s Cove: http://www.thepiratescove.us/
  9. @WilliamTeach: http://twitter.com/WilliamTeach

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