NUCLEAR: According to this new poll, Trump is now in 2nd PLACE on the Republican side.

by John Hawkins | February 17, 2016 7:55 pm

I bet this is one poll Donald Trump won’t be tweeting out[1].


Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump has fallen behind Ted Cruz in the national GOP horserace, according to a brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

In the poll, Cruz is the first choice of 28 percent of Republican primary voters, while Trump gets 26 percent. They’re followed by Marco Rubio at 17 percent, John Kasich at 11 percent, Ben Carson at 10 percent and Jeb Bush at 4 percent.

The results from the poll — conducted after Trump’s victory in New Hampshire and Saturday’s GOP debate in South Carolina — are a significant reversal from last month, when Trump held a 13-point lead over Cruz, 33 percent to 20 percent.


How much stock should you put in this poll? Not much — yet. It could be an outlier. However, it’s also possible that Trump’s Bush lied/people died debate comments combined with a new seriousness being injected into the race by the death of Antonin Scalia is starting to take a toll. If Cruz did pass Trump nationally right after all the big states that will be coming up in March, that would be a big deal. Although this is a good sign for Cruz, unless there are other polls showing a similar surge, I wouldn’t put too much stock in this poll.

Update #1

That same WSJ poll: Trump would beat Kasich or Bush 1-on-1, but Cruz or Rubio would beat Trump in a landslide.[4]

— John Hawkins (@johnhawkinsrwn) February 18, 2016[5]

  1. this is one poll Donald Trump won’t be tweeting out:
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  5. February 18, 2016:

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