by Terresa Monroe-Hamilton | October 24, 2016 9:04 am
Or, it could be a nail-biter… it all depends on who you look at. IBD has Trump up by 2 points in the race. So does Rasmussen. Those are the only two major polls that have him leading. All the others have Clinton ahead by over 5 percentage points. The electoral map is currently a bloodbath for Trump. The best rating currently is Trump: 191 and Clinton: 279. The worst for Trump is: 157 and Clinton: 287. There seems to be a huge discrepancy between polling and the Electoral College. The same goes for crowd attendance. No one shows for Clinton or Kaine and thousands show for Trump and Pence.
Frankly, I have no idea which way this is going to go. In a bad sign for the Trump campaign, they bluntly acknowledged Sunday that Trump is trailing Clinton as the presidential race hurdles toward a close, but they insisted he still has a viable path to win the White House. We’ll see.
From Investor’s Business Daily:
With 16 days to go until November 8, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points — 43% to 41% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll.
Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson saw his support held steady at 7%, while the Green Party’s Jill Stein dipped to 3%.
Unrounded, Trump leads 42.6% to 40.8% — a 1.8-point edge — with Johnson at 7.2% and Stein at 3.3%.
Trump also holds a nearly one-point lead in a two-way matchup — 43.2% to 42.3%.
The IBD/TIPP poll results continue to show a much closer race than most other nationwide polls. Only the Rasmussen poll shows Trump ahead in a four-way contest (by two points). The Real Clear Politics average has Clinton up by 5.9 points. And Clinton leads by an average 5.8 points in the latest two-way matchup polls.
The poll results include responses from 783 likely voters, with a weighted partisan breakdown of 282 Democrats, 226 Republicans, and 259 Independents. The results reflect the rolling average of six days’ worth of polling, with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points.
Part of Trump’s ongoing mistake in his campaign is that every time he is baited from the left, whether it be on sex or something else, he makes it all about himself. He should be ignoring the jabs as much as possible and should be focusing on issues and savaging Hillary Clinton. But he has never done that… not really. Clinton is now so sure of herself, she is calling Trump a sore loser and is focusing on getting other Democrats elected rather than the end of her campaign. Republicans are now in a panic that not only will they lose the presidency, but the Senate and the House as well.
Paul Ryan was blunt last week: “If we lose the Senate, do you know who becomes chair of the Senate Budget Committee?” Ryan asked. “A guy named Bernie Sanders. You ever heard of him?” Great, a stone cold communist leading the budget committee. What could go wrong?
This could be a blowout either way or down to the wire. If the Republicans lose everything because of their choice of nominee, the blame game will ensue. But in the end, the GOP owns this one, as does Trump.
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