SHOCK: New Poll Shows Donald Trump in SECOND PLACE to….

by Terresa Monroe-Hamilton | October 4, 2015 10:27 am

Well, if the New York Times says it, it must be true[1]! IBD/TIPP has a new poll out showing Ben Carson not just leading Donald Trump, but trouncing him by 7 percentage points. The NYT calls it the most accurate poll out there. They only spoke to 900 people. Call me extremely skeptical. I’ll give you that Trump’s lead is not as great as it was, but the polls are all over the place out there. I also don’t believe that Bush is leading Cruz or that Rubio is in third place. Not buying it. In the last Zogby Poll[2], Trump was leading Carson by 20 points… that was on Sept. 20th. Carson had fallen 3 points and Trump had risen by 2. So, tell me again how this IBD poll is valid?

Ben Carson Poll[3]

From Young Conservatives:

Granted, this is only one poll, but Donald Trump’s lead is dwindling…fast.

From IBD[4] via Right Scoop[5]:

Ben Carson Poll1[6]

Donald Trump has boasted that he’s “leading every poll and in most cases big.” Not anymore. The latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows him in second place, seven points behind Ben Carson.

The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared with 17% who say they support Trump.

Marco Rubio came in third with 11% and Carly Fiorina fourth at 9%. Jeb Bush, once considered a prohibitive favorite, ranked fifth with just 8% support, which was a point lower than those who say they are still undecided.

The IBD/TIPP Poll has a proven track record for accuracy, based on its performance in the past three presidential elections. In a comparison of the final results of various pollsters for the 2004 and 2008 elections, IBD/TIPP was the most accurate[7]. And the New York Times concluded[8] that IBD/TIPP was the most accurate among 23 polls over the three weeks leading up to the 2012 election.

The October poll, conducted from Sept. 26 to Oct. 1, included 377 registered voters who are Republican or registered independents who lean toward the Republican Party, with a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.

This poll was only made up of 900 adults, but I do like the fact that the “NY Times concluded that “IBD/TIPP was the most accurate among 23 polls over the three weeks leading up to the 2012 election.”

That speaks volumes.

Sure, we’re a lot more than three weeks out from the general election at this point, but as a whole, it feels like support for Trump is quickly beginning to fade.

The Summer of Trump may have lasted for only a short period, or maybe this poll is off, but either way, Ben Carson is shooting up the board.

Go figure. A political outsider is beating a political outsider in this latest poll.

See what happens when you don’t listen to the people, establishment Republicans?

I like Cruz, Trump and Carson in that order. I’d take any of them as the pick. No way am I going for Rubio, who is a RINO plant, or Fiorina, who is Jeb in drag. Bush, seriously? And excuse me, but the poll has Ryan at 3%. Paul Ryan is not in the race and the last time I looked there was no other candidate named Ryan. This is propaganda and not very good propaganda at that. Last I heard, Biden was beating both Hillary and Sanders. I also heard Sanders was handily beating the Hildabeast. This particular poll looks vastly out of line to me. Regardless, if Carson is shooting up and running off with the nomination, I’m cool with that. I just don’t like the massive campaign against Trump. It’s unfair and dishonest. It also reeks of Republican manipulation, so beware those bearing false polls.

Endnotes:
  1. if the New York Times says it, it must be true: http://www.youngcons.com/ben-carson-destroying-donald-trump-in-latest-highly-accurate-poll/
  2. In the last Zogby Poll: http://www.forbes.com/sites/johnzogby/2015/09/20/zogby-poll-trump-widens-lead-after-gop-debate/
  3. [Image]: https://rightwingnews1.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Ben-Carson-Poll.jpg
  4. IBD: http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials-polls/100215-773897-donald-trump-trails-ben-carson-in-ibd-tipp-poll.htm
  5. Right Scoop: http://therightscoop.com/boom-trump-falls-below-carson-in-newest-poll/
  6. [Image]: https://rightwingnews1.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Ben-Carson-Poll1.gif
  7. IBD/TIPP was the most accurate: http://www.tipponline.com/home/about-tipp/record-after-2012-vote-shows-again-ibd-tipp-poll-is-nation-s-best
  8. New York Times concluded: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0

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