by John Hawkins | August 8, 2006 9:04 am
According to a Siena College Research Institute poll of New Yorkers, Hillary is far from politically bulletproof:
“Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D-N.Y., is maintaining big leads over potential Republican re-election opponents but would not fare as well among New York voters if she were to face former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani in a 2008 presidential race, pollsters reported Monday.
The poll, by Siena College’s Research Institute, found the Republican Giuliani leading the former first lady 48 percent to 42 percent among registered voters asked about a hypothetical 2008 presidential matchup. The poll has a sampling error margin of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
In another possible 2008 matchup, Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona was favored by 46 percent of New York voters, compared to 42 percent for Democrat Clinton.”
For Democrats, this is just the latest in a series of bad omens for their 2008 hopes. When primary time rolls around, they’re going to have a popular, incredibly well funded, front runner for the nomination whose support is so weak that she gets outpolled by moderate Republicans in her home state.
However, despite all the Giuliani and McCain hype, neither of them is likely to be considered conservative enough to be palatable to Republican primary voters in 2008. Which again, brings up an obvious question: Why doesn’t Giuliani run against Clinton now?
He would easily capture the Republican nomination in New York, fund raising dollars would pour in from all across the country, and Giuliani would start the race up by 6 points with 3 months left to go. Moreover, it’s not as if this is a job that Rudy wouldn’t want — he originally intended to run against Hillary in 2000.
A Senate seat isn’t such a bad job, Rudy….
PS: Hey, Jeb: Katherine Harris can’t beat Bill Nelson, but you certainly can. Run, Jeb, run…
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