Iran Deal: The October Surprise?

Will President Obama announce a deal with Iran for a moratorium on the enrichment of uranium, in return for the dismantling of some international sanctions against the regime? And will the announcement be timed to appear just before the election? Reza Kahlili (the pseudonym for a former CIA operative in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards), the author […]

 

Road Map for Monday’s Debate

There is a temptation to get lost in the weeds of when President Obama recognized that the Libya attack was, indeed, an act of terror. But the key point is that Obama treated the anti-Muslim YouTube video as a provocation for the attack as if they had a moral equivalency. Otherwise, why constantly mention the […]

 

Here Come the Other States

While all national attention is focused — indeed riveted — on the seven to nine swing or battleground states, a major shift is taking place in the rest of the country: Voters are turning from President Obama and to Mitt Romney. In the forty states where the Obama campaign has not spread toxic negative ads […]

 

UN Gun Control is Back

After a wave of outrage stopped President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton from signing the proposed UN gun control treaty (called the UN Arms Trade Treaty), the treaty advocates are back with a devilish new strategy. As we warned in “Here Come the Black Helicopters: UN Global Governance and the Loss of Freedom,” […]

 

Romney Needs to Expand the Map

Originally, the Mitt Romney and Barack Obama campaigns chose which swing states to focus on by comparing election results from previous years and figuring out which were most or least likely to vote for each candidate. The result was a consensus that North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada and Colorado were the most […]

 


The UN Tries to Become a Global Government

The United Nations was founded to provide a forum for the world’s nations to negotiate differences and avoid armed conflict. Its administrative role was restricted to policing peace agreements after they were concluded and providing humanitarian assistance. But now, the U.N. is trying to become the world’s government, superseding national sovereignty and making of the […]

 

Stop UN Regulation of the Internet

Behind closed doors, the nations of the world are negotiating a treaty — initiated by Russia and China — to regulate the Internet through the United Nations. There are only two reasons we know about these talks in the first place. One is through a WikiLeaks anonymous posting by a participant in the talks and […]

 


Ryan: Romney’s Best Spokesman

The vice presidential debate gives Paul Ryan a unique opportunity to explain Mitt Romney’s economic programs and ideas in front of a massive national audience. We will see Paul Ryan at his best. And that is very, very good. He is not just a vice presidential candidate. He is the author and intellectual founder of […]

 

Foreign Money Scandal Threatens Obama

In September, President Obama’s campaign received 1.8 million donations from small contributors who did not break the $200 threshold requiring that their information be reported to the Federal Elections Commission. They gave the campaign 98 percent of the $181 million it raised that month, a figure vastly higher than its take in any previous month. […]

 

How the Media is Trying to Spin the Debate

Did Mitt Romney win the debate or did President Obama lose it? To those who watched, the answer is obvious: both. But in the media we hear endless explanations of why Obama lost and few comments on how effective and articulate Mitt Romney was. Bob Woodward hypothesizes that Obama was, somehow, distracted — perhaps by […]

 

Bipartisanship: A New Winning Issue

I was surprised when Frank Luntz’ focus group showed that the best line of the evening’s debate was Governor Romney’s rendition of working with Democrats in Massachusetts and will continue to do so as president. However, it makes a great deal of sense that this line would resonate. While we professionals are trying to win […]

 

Swing State Polls are Rigged

After Wednesday night’s smashing debate victory for Mitt Romney, we may expect the national and swing state polls to change in the Republican’s direction. But not by as much as they should. These polls are biased in favor of President Obama and here’s the data to prove it: From noted Republican pollster John McLaughlin comes […]

 

Romney’s Real Debate Victories

Obviously, Mitt Romney won last night’s debate. His passion, charisma, energy, eye contact, personality, force of argument and earnest compassion contrasted with a washed out, tired, hesitant President Obama. But seeing the debate from a professional’s eye, Romney scored a number of key victories in the turf wars that underlie this campaign. These victories are […]

 

Romney Must Debate Big Issues

Mitt Romney must make Wednesday night’s debate about the basic issues. Do you want more government or less? More spending or less? More regulation or less? More welfare or less? More power for teachers unions or less? More taxes or less? Less oil drilling or more? On these key issues, America agrees with the Republican […]

 

Romney Pulls Ahead

The published polling in this year’s presidential race is unusually inaccurate because this is the first election in which who votes determines how they vote. Obama’s massive leads among blacks, Latinos, young people and single women vie with Romney’s margin among the elderly, married white women and white men. Tell me your demographic, and I’ll […]

 

Marriage Gap Dominates the Election

There is no gender gap. There is a marriage gap. A September 13 poll I conducted (912 likely voters, national sample) found that while married white women back Romney by 55-40 percent, Unmarried white women back Obama by 60-32 percent! Since unmarried white women are 45 percent of all white women, this marriage gap poses […]

 

The Democratic Convention Bounce … And What To Do About It

Romney’s behalf in this election is a four-year-long shift of voters who no longer consider themselves Democrats and are now either Independents or Republicans. Since 2008 about 6 percent of Democrats have left the Party, and the GOP has gained about three points (the rest becoming Independents). In the aftermath of their Convention, however, the […]

 

The Obama Bounce Fades

The post-convention bounce that led to jubilation in the mainstream media has exhausted itself, and Romney is coming back strongly. Having shown Obama as much as four points ahead of Romney in the immediate aftermath of the conventions, Rasmussen now has the president down to a one point margin: Obama: 46 Romney: 45. Instead, the […]

 

The Teachers Union Commits Suicide

The teachers union will never recover from this strike in Chicago. If their demonstrations against Scott Walker were self-destructive, then the strike now unfolding is pure assisted suicide. Of course, voters like the teachers union when they advocate for better schools but hate them when they strike. And, of course, voters empathize with teachers when […]

 

Why Romney Will Win

Now that both conventions are over, the dimensions of the likely Romney triumph are becoming clear. Both through an analysis of the polling and an examination of the rhetoric, the parameters of the victory are emerging. Start with the polling. It appears that the bulk of the Obama post-convention bounce has been in blue states […]

 

Obama Thugs Rough Up Gallup for Polls They Don’t Like

The Obama Administration’s Justice Department announced on August 22 that it was joining a lawsuit by a former Gallup employee and whistleblower against the Gallup Corporation for allegedly overcharging the government on polling work. The announcement comes on the heels of a confrontation between Gallup staffers and Obama strategist David Axelrod in which he accused […]

 

Ann Romney: Game Changer

Fear, distrust and division are so much easier to convey in a speech than love and belief. These soft emotions always seem either phony or corny when they are blared over a microphone before a rowdy live audience and skeptical viewers on television. But Ann Romney managed to thread the needle and come over as […]

 

Romney’s Lead Over Economy Solidifies

(These poll numbers are from a survey of 500 likely voters that I conducted on Thursday, Aug. 23.) Voters have hardened their views about the economy and now decisively reject Obama’s economic record and say they see no reason for it to get better in a second term. Instead, they conclude that the president doesn’t […]

 

Romney Has Big Lead in My Poll

With all the conflicting polls and survey samples using registered — as opposed to likely — voters, I decided to conduct my own poll using the same methodologies I used so successfully for Clinton. On Thursday, Aug. 23, I conducted a national survey of 500 likely voters through live telephone interviews. The poll finds Romney […]

 

Romney Will Lead After Both Conventions

Each party convention usually produces a bounce in the polls of 6-10 points, though they often cancel each other out. But this year, there will be a difference. The Republicans will gain much more from their convention than the Democrats will from theirs. This year, there will be no offsetting bounces; the advantage will be […]

 

The Real Poll Numbers

The media are trying to create a sense of momentum and of inevitability about the Obama candidacy. One benighted Newsweek reporter even speculated about a possible Democratic landslide. On Friday, I saw the real numbers. These state-by-state polls, taken by an organization I trust (after forty years of polling) show the real story. The tally […]

 

Put Obamacare Back in Play

When Justice Roberts folded and held the Obamacare law constitutional, he upheld the individual mandate. But he gave us all an individual mandate: To defeat Obama and repeal this horrible law! But the Romney campaign — and the superpacs — have not put this issue in play against Obama. We need an avalanche of ads […]

 

Danger Signals Over VP Pick

Talk in Republican circles lately has focused on the possibility that Florida Senator Marco Rubio’s relationship with his fellow Floridian Congressman David Rivera could spell trouble for his nomination. Rivera, a solid conservative who was also elected in 2010, is an old friend of Rubio’s, and the two bought a house together that went into […]