A Disturbing Trend For Obama’s Poll Numbers

Last night, I was thinking about doing a post today predicting that Obama’s approval rating would drop into the 50s by next month. However, after taking a look at the RealClearPolitics poll numbers, I noticed that depending on the poll you look at, it has already happened.

Obama polling, first month

Two things.

#1) The reason Rasmussen and Democracy Corps are showing more lower numbers for Obama is because they’re using likely voters, which tends to better reflect what happens at the ballot box as opposed to adults, which produces more leftward leaning numbers.

#2) The trend so far for Obama has been an approval rating that has been dropping at a somewhat surprising rate of speed. For example, take a look at the numbers from these three pollsters:

Pollster: Gallup
Lastest: 62%
When Obama came into office: 68%
High Point: 69%

Pollster: Rasmussen
Lastest: 60%
When Obama came into office: 67%
High Point: 69%

Pollster: Roper
Lastest: 67%
When Obama came into office/high point: 74%

Is an approval rating that runs somewhere between 58% and 67%, depending on whom you believe, bad? Not at all. To the contrary, it’s very good.

However, on the other hand, a roughly 7 point drop in a month is pretty bad. It also doesn’t bode well for BHO given that there look to be more corruption charges coming down the pike for the Dems, Obama has more radical programs he wants to push, the economy is still in the toilet, and the Democrats just passed an unworkable, dangerous stimulus bill that isn’t going to do anything to improve the situation in the immediate future (or, in all honesty, ever).

So, as for the political “victory” Obama has just achieved with the stimulus, well, it brings to mind Pyrrhus’ famous line, “Another such victory over the Romans and we are undone.”

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