Q&A Friday #25: What About Plamegate?

Question: “Why is the Valerie Plame affair hanging in so long? The root of the investigation is that she was covert at the time that Robert Novak published his article. Her own supervisor has stated that she was not, so what is the issue, besides trying to smear President Bush?” — geoweeg

“Here is my question when this entire plamegate thing comes to nothing will we see liberal’s heads explode all over the nation?” — AlexinCT

“What do you think are the prospects of Karl Rove or anyone else being indicted in the Valerie Plame case, and do you think an indictment would cause any long-term damage to the GOP?” — maledicta

Answer: Back in July, I wrote the following about the whole Valerie Plame investigation:

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“At this point, the whole Rove/Plame ball of wax has degenerated into nothing but wild speculation and spin based on unverifiable leaks. All the liberal blogs talking about this story sound exactly the same and even the conservative blogs responding to all this pointless minutiae are so dull that I usually wake up from a sound sleep 15 minutes after trying to wade through a paragraph or two.

What it all comes down to is that most conservatives seem to think, based on the available evidence, that Rove did nothing illegal or unethical and liberals think the opposite. That was the case two weeks ago, it’s the case today, and that’s how things will likely stand until Patrick Fitzgerald finishes his investigation.

So until there’s some actual news of substance to report, I’ve relegated the whole Rove/Plame story to the “Dullsville file” and don’t plan on putting everyone to sleep by pontificating endlessly on the newest minor details released to the press via anonymous leak…”

Now, here we are in October, and nothing has really changed. The people who are writing about the case are just speculating based on other speculation based on questionable leaks, etc., etc., etc.

Here’s the bottom line: I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if there were no charges filed as a result of Fitzgerald’s investigation. If there are any charges, my guess is that they’d be a result of someone forgetting that old maxim: “The cover-up is worse than the crime.” In other words, there doesn’t appear to have been any crime committed initially, but someone may have still panicked, done something dumb, and may be hit with a perjury or obstruction of justice charge as a result.

But again, that’s just speculation, and nobody really knows what’s going to happen but Patrick Fitzgerald. As to how much damage it’ll cause, it’s hard to say given how little we really know at this point.

Personally, I’m content to just wait and see…

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