The Most Competitive Senate Races For 2006 (2nd Edition)

There have been a lot of changes over the last two and a half weeks and it’s time to reevaluate the Senate races although it’s still early and these rankings will change between now and the election. The higher the rating is, the greater the chance is that the seat might change parties.

Dark Horse Races

15) Ben Nelson* (D) vs. Pete Ricketts (R)
14) Jon Kyl* (R) vs. Jim Pederson (D)
13) George Allen* (R) vs. James Webb (D)


12) Debbie Stabenow* (D) vs. Mike Bouchard (R)
11) Bob Corker (R) vs. Harold Ford (D) (Rep Seat)
10) Michael Steele (R.) vs. The winner Of Ben Cardin (D.) & Kweisi Mfume (D.) (Dem Seat)
9) Robert Menendez* (D) vs. Tom Kean (R)
8) Mark Kennedy (R) vs. Amy Klobuchar (D) (Dem Seat)


7) Maria Cantwell* (D) vs. Mike McGavick (R)
6) Conrad Burns* (R) vs. John Tester (D)
5) Jim Talent* (R) vs. Claire McCaskill (D)

Danger Zone

4) Rick Santorum* (R) vs. Bob Casey (D)
3) Mike DeWine* (R) vs. Sherrod Brown (D)
2) Joe Lieberman* (I) vs. Ned Lamont (D) vs. Alan Schlesinger (R)
1) Lincoln Chafee* (R) or Steven Laffey (R) vs. Sheldon Whitehouse (D)

PS: Lieberman’s seat would flip if he won, since he is running as an independent.

PS #2: The Dems need six seats to take control of the Senate. While there are 5 Republican seats that are rated at “dogfights” or higher, the 6th one is all the way down at #11. That means the Dems will probably gain ground, but unless there is a major shift, gaining control of the Senate appears to be out of their reach.

Also see,

The Most Competitive Senate Races For 2006 (First edition)

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