Say, Remember When Warmists Said “Climate Change” Would Reduce Lake Effect Snow?

This was Warmist Eric Holthaus just two days ago

Global Warming Is Probably Boosting Lake-Effect Snows

In the aftermath of a massive lake-effect snowfall event in western New York state on Tuesday, it’s worth asking: Is climate change playing a role here? Because, I mean, come on. Seventy—seven zero—inches, people. And another huge round is forecast for Thursday, by the way. Buffalo deserves answers.

The short answer is: yes. Global warming is probably juicing lake-effect snows, and we’ve had the data to prove it for quite some time.

Could there be some truth to a warmer world contributing to more lake effect snow? Sure. More research is needed, but, of course, even if true, this in no way proves anthropogenic causation, at least from a global perspective. It could be a land use and/or UHI (urban heat island effect). It could be a case that this is increasing during an 18+ year Pause.

But, hey, what did Warmists used to say?

(The Hockey Schtick) But scientists have, in the past, concluded that global warming causes reduced lake-effect snow, not increases in lake-effect snow:

1) “Trend Reversal in Lake Michigan Contribution to Snowfall” [2012]

A general increase in LCS [lake-contribution snowfall] from the early 1920s to the 1950–80 period [during the 1970’s ice age scare] at locations typically downwind of the lake was found. Thereafter, LCS decreased through the early 2000s, indicating a distinct trend reversal that is not reported by earlier studies. The reasons for this reversal are unclear. The reversal is consistent with observed increasing minimum temperatures during winter months after the 1970s, however.

2) CLIMATE CHANGE AND LAKE-EFFECT SNOW

Thus, there may be little change in the frequency of heavy lake-effect snow in the Lake Superior snowbelt and a substantial decrease in the southern Lake Michigan and Lake Erie snowbelts. Air-temperature [warming] was found to be the primary determining factor in reducing the frequency of heavy lake-effect events in this study…Anticipated regional impacts of climate change on lake-effect snow patterns – suggest almost no change [in lake-effect snowfall] in the northernmost belts but approximately a 50% decrease in southernmost belts.

3) Assessment of Potential Effects of Climate Change on Heavy Lake-Effect Snowstorms Near Lake Erie

…Surface conditions favorable for heavy lake-effect snow decreased in frequency by 50% and 90% for the HadCM2 and CGCM1 [models], respectively, by the late 21st Century. This reduction was due almost entirely to a decrease in the number of occurrences of surface air temperature in the range of −10 to 0°C, which in turn was the result of an increase in average winter air temperatures.

So, which is is? Does global warming cause more lake effect snow or less lake effect snow? The answer from Warmists if you ask them? “Yes.” Because, as we all know, no matter what happens with the weather, it will be blamed on “climate change” caused by the actions of Humanity.

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