Climate Scientists Baffled By The Earth’s Refusal To Warm Over The Last Twenty Years

30 Mar, 2013 by John Hawkins

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Ever heard the expression “Garbage in, garbage out (GIGO)?” What that means is that if you start with bad data, faulty assumptions or your model doesn’t work, you’re not going to end up with the right answer. This is very applicable to the debate over global warming.

Even though we don’t have a very good understanding of how our climate works, don’t really know why the earth had large temperature changes in the past and don’t truly comprehend all the factors that cause the earth to warm and cool, climate models are being created that will supposedly forecast what the temperature of the earth will look like in a hundred years. Then based on these climate models that are riddled with faulty assumptions, we hear confident predictions about what’s going to happen fifty years from now. Meanwhile, your local weatherman can’t even tell you with 100% confidence whether or not it’s going to rain next week.

….Which brings us to a story reported in The Australian.

Despite the fact that we’ve added 100 billion tons of carbon to the atmosphere in the last decade, temperatures haven’t spiked. As David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation notes, this runs completely counter to how things should be playing out if global warming is occurring.

“The global temperature standstill shows that climate models are diverging from observations. If we have not passed it already, we are on the threshold of global observations becoming incompatible with the consensus theory of climate change.”

It’s tempting to do a little South Park style, in-your-face touchdown dance just like you’ll see in this video.

Rather than going in that direction, let me just note that this is actually how science is supposed to work. Science isn’t supposed to be about politically driven “consensus.” To the contrary, you’re supposed to come up with a theory, test it and see if the evidence supports or undermines your assumption. If we had a little more of that and a little less hysterical doomsday yammering about what’s going to happen in a hundred years if we don’t act right this second, we’d all be better off.