Takeaways From New Hampshire

The numbers from New Hampshire

Trump 35%, Kasich 16%, Cruz 12%, Bush 11%, Rubio 11%, Cristie 7%, Fiorina 4%, Carson 2%. The win earned Trump 9 delegates and Kasich 3, with zero for the rest.

Sanders 60%, Clinton 38%. Somehow, this leads to 13 delegates for Sanders and 16 for Hillary. It’s due to the superdelegates, who can support whoever they want.

Politico’s Glenn Thrush provides 5 takeways, which starts with a brutal takedown of Hillary

Hillary is in real trouble. Will she panic? The Clinton team, hunkered down in a grubby Manchester Radisson saturated in booze and ill-kempt Morning Joe groupies, knew it was going to be a terrible, not-good night by mid-afternoon: The exit polls showed big turnout among young voters and, ominously for her, liberals who think Barack Obama isn’t liberal enough. It was a complete and humbling defeat: Sanders beat Clinton among all demographic groups – including all women, a remarkable rebuke eight years after she “found her voice” by tearing up at New Hampshire diner.

Clinton prides herself on hanging tough through adversity, and she’s got her share. How does she react? If history is any guide, she’ll freak out at first, then grudgingly make adjustments. But what are adjustments she can make when so many progressives think she’s so day-before-yesterday.

She lost women 55% to 44% to old white guy Sanders. She lost the youth vote badly.

On Monday, my colleague Annie Karni and I reported that the Bill and Hillary Clinton were pressuring campaign manager Robby Mook to enact strategic, “messaging” and staffing shifts that would take place if Sanders trounced the former secretary. Duh, that’s done. But the problem is, fundamentally, with the candidate herself: She’s a less limber, more tone-deaf politician than she was in 2008 (after years of experience in the Senate parrying a New York tabloid press corps that kept her sharp) and she has blown past staff suggestions that she simplify her message to match Sanders’ pound-one-nail anti-Wall Street mantra.

Surely, Hillary’s home-brew, insecure server and the sword of the FBI recommending indictment may have played a small part in her loss, but, with Democrats, not that much, since they really do not care whether their candidates (elected politicians, bureaucrats, unions, etc) have done anything legally wrong. It may have played into the notion of Hillary being untrustworthy, though. The problems with Hillary are the same as 2008: she’s cold, calculating, not particularly personable, and, for the liberal base, not liberal enough. She’s the Democratic Party’s version of “Establishment”.

Then we get to Trump

And he did so because of his most controversial ideas, including his temporary ban on Muslim immigration – not in spite of them — with almost half of New Hampshire exit-poll respondents saying they supported a position many of his fellow candidates have decried as xenophobic. The March state map is slightly more problematic for Trump, who is still locked in what looks like a long-term mano-a-mano with third-place finisher Ted Cruz. But South Carolina, with its defiant and conservative GOP base, seems poised to deliver another big win for the developer-turned-reality-star, and he’s certainly regained the momentum he lost wandering among the cornstalks.

I happened to catch a bit of MSNBC when I got home last night and was changing, and Chris Hayes, with his barely recognizable ratings, said this is a step towards fascism, while Rachel Maddow called Trump’s win “terrifying”. Some serious political discourse from TV’s version of Salon. But, really, Trump is often saying what people are thinking, and Republicans are tired of turning our country over to 3rd world people who are turning America into a sh*thole like where these people came from.

John Kasich got 16 percent! No candidate was a more natural fit for the cranky, look-me-in-the-eye, middle-road maple-sap Republicans here than the Ohio governor. He seemed like a native, holding over 100 town halls, and was so relaxed about the whole thing he took time off the trail during a Friday mini-blizzard to pelt reporters with snowballs.

As Thrush goes on to note, does this carry forward? Can he do anything in South Carolina? I’m betting the top 3 will be Trump, Cruz, and Rubio.

Another big loser was Ben Carson, who didn’t even stick around as the numbers were coming out. Jeb Bush came in 4th, yet, he spent roughly $36 million in New Hampshire, which equates to $1150 per vote, the most for anyone. Ted Cruz spent $900,000, $18 per vote. He came in 3rd. Trump spent around $40 per vote. Much like with Chris Christie, who spent a bit over $800 per vote, this is showing, so far, that it’s less about the money and more about the person, their history, and their ideas. This makes Bush and Christie big losers. How do they do in S.C.? We’ll see.

For Trump, this was a huge win. Can he carry forth in S.C.? Do his NY values play well in the South?

More losers are the leftist media. I already mentioned MSNBC’s meltdown. Here’s the Huffington Post’s

A Racist, Sexist Demagogue Just Won The New Hampshire Primary

In other words, a guy who won’t conform to leftist’s brand of PC. On the front page of the HuffPost we see

A TALE OF TWO PARTIES
Civility, Empathy, Compassionate Conservatism vs. Racist, Sexist, Xenophobic Demagoguery

Of course, they have nothing but kind words for the old, white socialist who trounced Hillary in all demographics, including women.

Crossed at Pirate’s Cove. Follow me on Twitter @WilliamTeach.

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