Why Sanders Won the Debate

While all the insider pundits proclaimed a Hillary Clinton victory, it is evident to those who truly understand the Democratic electorate that Bernie Sanders is the one who actually won. The result of the debate will be evident soon enough: Look for Sanders to move up in the polls and close much of the lead […]

 

Fiorina: A Falling Star

The rapid rise and equally rapid fall of Carly Fiorina deserves our attention. Before the most recent debate, she was languishing in the polls with only 4 percent of the vote (CBS, Sept. 9-13). After a smashing performance in the second debate, she soared into second place with 15 percent (CNN, Sept. 17-19). Now the […]

 

The Debate Will Not Be Kind to Hillary

The first Democratic presidential debate, scheduled for Tuesday, Oct.13, will likely boost each of the candidates who participate — largely at the expense of Hillary Clinton. The debate will be a contest of four versus one, as Senator Bernie Sanders, former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley, former Rhode Island Senator Lincoln Chafee and former Virginia Senator […]

 

Chaffetz for Speaker

It’s time the Republican leadership of the House stopped eating their young. Ever since the coup of 2010, when almost 70 new Republicans powered their way up to Congress, overturning longtime Democratic incumbents, the established House leadership — elevated to power by the triumph of their youngsters — has disregarded, disrespected and disappointed them. Now […]

 

Hillary: Making the Same Mistake Twice

The last fundraising report indicates that the Sanders-Clinton match has all the hallmarks of the Obama-Clinton race of 2008, with Hillary Clinton making the same mistakes: –As her momentum slows, so has Clinton’s fundraising. In the winter — second quarter — she raised $48 million. But in the third quarter, this past summer, she raised […]

 

Sanders Soars

The latest NBC/WSJ poll, conducted Sept. 20-24, has Hillary Clinton only slightly ahead of Bernie Sanders in the national sample of registered Democratic voters. Clinton polls at 42 percent, Sanders at 35 percent and Joe Biden at 17 percent. With Sanders a bare seven points behind the former secretary of state, her candidacy is in […]

 

Bye-Bye Boehner

John Boehner needed resigning. His leadership has consisted of acting as an intermediary in the ongoing surrender negotiations of the conservatives we elected to Congress and the president we were trying to circumscribe. If Donald Trump wrote a book on “The Art of the Deal,” Boehner could write one on “The Art of the Sellout.” […]

 

Carly Fiorina: The Pros and Cons

The sight of a woman like Carly Fiorina — like that of an African-American like Dr. Ben Carson — vying for the Republican nomination for president is enough to make all our pulses beat faster. It is, after all, only by breaking the Democrats’ condominium over blacks, Latinos, single women, gays, and young voters that […]

 


Is Biden Inevitable?

Some are born great. Others achieve greatness. And some have greatness thrust upon them. William Shakespeare might have been thinking of Joe Biden. While the Democratic world ruminates on whether the vice president has the emotional strength to run for president, the political realities are such that he may have to run. Ready or not. […]

 

Bad News for Hillary: No Gender Gap

The most recent poll to chronicle Hillary Clinton’s collapse — this one by the Washington Post/ABC News — shows that there is no difference between her vote share among men and among women. No gender gap. Clinton gets the support of 42 percent of Democratic primary male voters and an identical percentage among female voters […]

 

Clinton Crashes Below 40 Percent

Yesterday, I did a lunch alert video called “Hillary Collapsing”. It was based on a poll showing her at only 42 percent among Democratic primary voters. Now, a new CNN poll has her at 37 percent with Bernie Sanders 10 ten points behind at 27 percent. And against Republican rivals, she is either behind or […]

 

The Populist Revolt

How did a populist uprising create such enthusiasm and support for two polar opposite insurgent candidates — Donald Trump, the glitzy billionaire, and Bernie Sanders, the self-effacing Socialist Senator? There’s a bipartisan revolt going on. The rank and file of both parties have said a resounding no to the dynastic dinosaurs, Hillary Clinton and Jeb […]

 

If Obama Endorses Biden…

If Joe Biden runs and President Obama endorses him — and both now appear likely — then all bets are off. Hillary Clinton will soon be dethroned as the frontrunner. While Clinton holds a comfortable lead over Biden and Sanders in most current national polls (although Sanders leads in New Hampshire), once the vice president […]

 



Trump Can Win

Donald Trump isn’t going to drop out or suddenly leave the race. And he might just win it. Trump has firmly planted his feet on the no-man’s-land between the reality Americans see around them and the fiction that conventional wisdom and politically correct speech define. In the process, he has increased his voter share to […]

 

Clinton In Free Fall

I have polled Hillary Clinton’s national favorability for the past 25 years and I have never seen it drop to its current level of 40 percent. Not ever. Her recent crash (to 40 percent favorable, 51 percent unfavorable in the July 30 Quinnipiac Poll) means that she is essentially in free fall, having lost a […]

 

How Far Will Hillary Fall?

As Hillary’s favorability drops week after week in the polls — now its down to 43 percent — the real question is: Will she start losing the support of those who are the core of Obama’s strength? In every poll of Obama’s favorability or job rating, his positives have never fallen below 39 percent of […]

 

Iran Deal Flunks In Polls

Mark Twain said, “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics.” The recent Washington Post/ABC News Poll is a good example of the third kind. Published last week, the survey led to headlines that proclaimed the popularity of the Iran Nuclear Deal recently signed by President Obama. The data showed public approval […]

 


Bushes Rehabbed Clinton

If Hillary Clinton becomes the next president — and, in the process defeats Jeb Bush — the Bush family will only have itself to blame. Without the active help of both former presidents George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush, Bill and Hillary Clinton would be on the ash heap of history. It was Bill’s […]

 

Bernie Hogties Hillary

As Bernie Sanders creeps up on Hillary Clinton — closing to within 8 points in New Hampshire and holding her to 52 percent in Iowa — handling this new and unanticipated threat presents an important challenge to Clinton. Unfortunately for her, she has no good choices. Her current strategy of ignoring Sanders has failed abysmally. […]

 

Obamacare Still Key Issue

You can almost hear the sighs of relief coming from the liberal and establishment media after the Court ruled for Obama in the King v. Burwell case. “Thank God that’s over,” they seem to say. “Now the Obamacare issue has run its course. We won’t have to face it in 2016.” The media has proclaimed […]

 

Rand Paul Becomes Radioactive

Almost half of Republican primary voters — 45 percent — said they could not see themselves supporting Kentucky Senator Rand Paul for president in a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. 49 percent said they could see themselves supporting him, for an overall ranking of tenth among the 16 candidates tested. Two cautions: 1. The […]

 

TiSA Means Open Borders

Though the Trans-Pacific Partnership is supposed to be the trade deal that needs fast track to get approved by Congress, the real worry is the Trade In Services Agreement being negotiated in secret. Until now, the details of TiSA have been hidden carefully, but a draft treaty and notes about the negotiations now in progress […]

 

The Disgraceful Trade Vote

All but 54 courageous Republicans sided with President Obama to approve giving this president fast-track authority to OK trade deals. As a result, trade pacts will require only a majority vote in each house rather than the two-thirds specified for treaties in the Constitution. And no amendments will be allowed. Debate will be limited and […]

 

Sanders Gets Momentum

There’s a new kid in town and Hillary, quoting the pop song, is likely saying, “I don’t want to hear it.” The Quinnipiac University Poll shows that his support among likely Democratic primary voters has ballooned from only 4 percent in March to 8 percent in April to 15 percent on May 28. Among “very […]

 


Where It Counts: Huck, Cruz, Walker Lead

The conventional wisdom shows Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Rand Paul strongly competing for the Republican presidential nomination. But a close analysis of the latest Quinnipiac University National Poll indicates that with strong elements of the Party’s right wing, they perform poorly in comparison to Mike Huckabee, Ted Cruz, Scott Walker and, for now, Ben […]